Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.018171 0.020202 0.022240 0.024431 0.026715 0.029021 0.031519
2025-03-16 0.013808 0.016959 0.020252 0.023918 0.027860 0.031945 0.036479
2025-03-23 0.011353 0.015167 0.019285 0.023991 0.029159 0.034610 0.040748
2025-03-30 0.009286 0.013500 0.018197 0.023691 0.029834 0.036407 0.043896
2025-04-06 0.007549 0.012002 0.017128 0.023257 0.030225 0.037773 0.046458
2025-04-13 0.005748 0.010230 0.015591 0.022162 0.029764 0.038105 0.047797
2025-04-20 0.004997 0.009674 0.015424 0.022588 0.030971 0.040241 0.051078
2025-04-27 0.004037 0.008736 0.014719 0.022322 0.031333 0.041387 0.053218
2025-05-04 0.003125 0.007750 0.013880 0.021837 0.031393 0.042152 0.054894
2025-05-11 0.002596 0.007245 0.013610 0.022008 0.032193 0.043732 0.057463
2025-05-18 0.002027 0.006594 0.013104 0.021852 0.032577 0.044815 0.059447
2025-05-25 0.001451 0.005824 0.012382 0.021386 0.032562 0.045411 0.060858
2025-06-01 0.001008 0.005228 0.011919 0.021307 0.033096 0.046747 0.063239
2025-06-08 0.000559 0.004466 0.011176 0.020856 0.033187 0.047590 0.065092
2025-06-15 0.000315 0.004021 0.010853 0.020926 0.033895 0.049139 0.067740
2025-06-22 0.000108 0.003458 0.010293 0.020644 0.034143 0.050124 0.069719
2025-06-29 0.000004 0.002896 0.009668 0.020236 0.034206 0.050870 0.071401
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002157 0.008637 0.019209 0.033448 0.050606 0.071883
2025-07-13 NaN 0.002004 0.008626 0.019609 0.034501 0.052510 0.074890
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001648 0.008179 0.019359 0.034702 0.053371 0.076663
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001269 0.007615 0.018904 0.034616 0.053870 0.077995
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001103 0.007472 0.019065 0.035325 0.055329 0.080455
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000876 0.007139 0.018919 0.035619 0.056272 0.082294